Central Economic Work Conference: Next year, a more active fiscal policy will be implemented, the fiscal deficit ratio will be raised, and extra-long special government bonds will be issued. The Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. The meeting pointed out that it is necessary to maintain stable economic growth next year, maintain overall stability in employment and prices, maintain a basic balance of international payments, and promote the simultaneous growth of residents' income and economic growth. The meeting demanded that next year, we should persist in striving for progress in stability, promoting stability through progress, keeping integrity and innovation, establishing before breaking, system integration and coordination. It is necessary to implement a more active fiscal policy, improve the fiscal deficit ratio, increase the issuance of ultra-long-term special government bonds, increase the issuance and use of local government special bonds, optimize the fiscal expenditure structure, and secure the bottom line of "three guarantees" at the grassroots level. (CCTV News)Imperial Commercial Bank of Canada: cut the preferential loan interest rate in Canada by 50 basis points to 5.45%.The scale is 3 billion yuan! Zhengzhou Investment and Education Fund was put on record. On December 11th, Zhengzhou High-tech Zone's first fund to support the investment promotion of major projects-"Zhengzhou Investment and Education Equity Investment Fund" was put on record in asset management association of china, with a scale of 3 billion yuan, with Zhengzhou High-tech Industry Investment Fund Co., Ltd. as the fund manager (GP). (Dahe Finance Cube)
The Israeli army said it had withdrawn from the Shyam area in southern Lebanon. On the evening of 11th local time, the Israel Defense Forces announced that according to the ceasefire agreement reached with Hezbollah in Lebanon, the troops had withdrawn from the Shyam area in southern Lebanon that morning, and Lebanese Armed Forces soldiers would be deployed in the area together with the United Nations Interim Force in Lebanon. The Israeli military says it is still deployed in other parts of southern Lebanon and will continue to fight any threat.Fitch Ratings: US state and local governments (economies) are expected to return to normal in 2025. Steady reserves, reduced liabilities, and prudent budget management have prepared American state and local governments for 2025.Optimize the layout of branches. Brokers accelerate the transformation of wealth management. Recently, a number of brokers announced the cancellation of business offices to further optimize the layout of business outlets. According to insiders, the cancellation or establishment of a new business department of a securities company is mainly due to the strategic development of the company and the consideration of meeting the diversified needs of investors. Facing the increasingly fierce competition in the brokerage market, brokerage branches need to increase the application of financial technology in order to implement the wealth management strategy more effectively. (CSI)
Morgan Stanley downgraded Hikvision to equal rating, with a target price of RMB in 36 yuan. Andy Meng, an analyst at Morgan Stanley, was previously rated as over-matched. The target price is 36 yuan RMB, which is up by 14%.The central government has decided to adjust the fiscal policy for next year: increase the deficit, special national debt and special debt quota. According to CCTV news broadcast, the Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. When deploying the fiscal policy for next year, the meeting said that it is necessary to implement a more active fiscal policy, improve the fiscal deficit ratio, increase the issuance of ultra-long-term special government bonds, increase the issuance and use of local government special bonds, optimize the fiscal expenditure structure, and firmly grasp the bottom line of "three guarantees" at the grassroots level. According to the above-mentioned meeting arrangements, in 2025, deficit ratio will exceed 3%, ultra-long-term special national debt will exceed 1 trillion yuan, and the amount of new special debt will also exceed 3.9 trillion yuan. This means that fiscal policy will be more active next year. This is also in line with market expectations. A number of interviewed finance and taxation experts predict that deficit ratio may be 3.5%~4% next year, the ultra-long-term special national debt is expected to be 1.5 trillion yuan to 2 trillion yuan, and the amount of special debt is expected to be around 4.5 trillion yuan. Of course, this is only an expert's prediction or suggestion, and the final actual relevant data still needs to be announced during the National People's Congress in March next year. (CBN)Dollar deposits and wealth management are popular again. Experts suggest paying attention to exchange risk. Although it is in the cycle of interest rate reduction by the Federal Reserve, dollar deposit products are still attractive to investors. Since December, a number of bank wealth management subsidiaries have intensively put on shelves US dollar wealth management products. Judging from the rate of return, the performance benchmark of some US dollar fixed-income wealth management products currently launched is close to 5%, but the performance benchmark of RMB wealth management products with the same risk level is mostly around 2%. According to the statistics of Puyi standard data, as of December 9, there were 1,312 surviving products in US dollar financing, and the surviving scale of US dollar financing reached 281.927 billion yuan, which has doubled from the surviving scale of 140.351 billion yuan at the end of December last year. In addition, although banks have previously lowered the interest rate of dollar deposit products, from the current point of view, the interest rate of some banks' dollar deposits remains above 4%, attracting many customers to buy. According to industry insiders, under the Fed's interest rate cut cycle, the main reason for the high heat of dollar wealth management and dollar deposits is the exchange rate expectation of a strong dollar. If the market expects the US dollar to appreciate or remain stable, holding US dollar assets (such as US dollar wealth management and US dollar deposits) can benefit from the potential exchange rate appreciation even if interest rates fall. In addition, in order to diversify risks, some investors choose to allocate part of their funds to US dollar assets to realize diversification of asset allocation. (Securities Daily)
Strategy guide
12-14
Strategy guide 12-14